MARTIN GROVE's Hollywood Report
Posted on Mar 08, 2021

Oscar Talk: Prospects for Netflix's Mank and Ma Rainey

Now that we’re past the vilified Golden Globes, it’s time to talk Oscars.

The HFPA’s failings reflect the views of its 90-odd members – or should that be 90 odd members? Some of their choices were oddly out of touch with today and others aren’t likely to be mirrored by Academy voters.

Consider: HFPA’s total lack of love for MANK (0 wins/6 noms) and very limited affection for MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM. MANK has much better Academy prospects. It’s well made (David Fincher), well written (Jack Fincher), and well-acted (especially Gary Oldman as Herman J. Mankiewicz & Amanda Seyfried as Marion Davies). Plus: Moviemaking’s a subject that resonates well with Academy members, who voted back-to-back Best Picture wins for THE ARTIST (2012) & ARGO (2013).

As for MA, its only GG win was lead actor for the late Chadwick Boseman. His strongest Oscar competition will likely be Oldman. Viola Davis (pictured) lost for actress-drama, but she’s a likely Oscar frontrunner vs. GG winner Frances McDormand (NOMADLAND) & Carey Mulligan (PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN).

MA wasn’t a GG picture-drama nom, but she’ll likely make Oscar’s list of up to 10 picture contenders.

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Last revised on December 30, 2020

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